Saturday, January 30, 2010

Stock Market Crashes, Productivity Boom Busts and Recessions

-2- recessions that coincided

with stock market crashes, defined as one or more years of a decline in real GDP
,(see WEO April 2002 Chapter III) (column 3); stock market booms
(changes from preceeding to succeding peak) (column 4); an indicator of banking crises (column 5) ; and an indicator of severe financial distress

(column 6) based on
an Index of Financial
Stability developed by Bordo,
Dueker, and Wheelock (2001, 2002)
.

In general, we see so
me salient patterns. First, ther
e were frequent stock market
crashes in both countries (1
7

in the United Kingdom,
20

in the Un
ited States). Second, more
than half of the crashes in each country were associated with recessions (8 in the United
Kingdom, 1
5

in the United States). Third,
historical narratives
suggest that

only
v
ery few
of
these
could be defined as productivity boom
s

and
busts. Fourth, most of the crashes
cum

recessions involved banking p
anics
, especially in the United States before 1933
,

and
many

involved s
evere

financial distress.

B.
Historical Episodes

United Kingdom

Stock market crashes and recessions can be
traced

ba
ck to the eighteenth century
(
Kindleberger, 1996
)
,

and asset boom
s

and

busts even
earlier
, e.g.
,

the famous Dutch Tulip
mania

of the 17
th

century (G
a
rber, 2000)
,

the John Law Mississippi
Bubble

and the South Sea
Bubble, both in 1720. None of those were new

technology induce
d

manias
,

although the
South Sea and Mississippi Bubbles were
associated with expected

future profits from the
opening

up
of world trade.

The earliest and probably most infamo
us boom
-
bust in the modern era was 1824

25
(See Neal. 1998, an
d Bordo, 1998). It is not clear that it could be called a productivity boom.
It began after the Napoleonic wars and the successful resumption of the gold standard in
1
8
21. The British economy began a period of rapid expansion, characterized by both an
expo
rt boom to the newly inde
pendent states of Latin America
,and at the same time,

Download Stock Market Crashes, Productivity Boom Busts and Recessions pdf
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Wednesday, January 20, 2010

Hemphill's Rugs & Carpets home design ideas

Hemphill's Rugs & Carpets has been providing rugs, carpeting and flooring to the waterfront homes, hilltop haciendas and gated communities of Orange County, Calif., since 1995.

Owner and California native Brett Hemphill started the business following several years of rug retailing on the East Coast, preceded by his graduation from college and earlier years spent working in the family's retail shoe business. "I had just graduated from USC (1988) with a degree in business when I got a job offer from my brother's fraternity advisor, Joe Steele, to start and run a spin-off carpet and rug store from Carolina Furniture in Williamsburg, Va.," he said.

Here is some home design ideas - Homedug.com listing site:

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Thursday, January 14, 2010

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